US GDP

Politicians are always bragging about GDP growth, but is GDP really growing? What if the entire growth is caused only by money printing? And even worse, what if GDP is not even increasing as fast as number of money in circulation, what if GDP is actually declining?

Here we have US GDP chart, in billions of dollars, source: tradingeconomics.com:

 

But if you just simply divide GDP by growing rate of money in circulation (M2 adjustment) the story seems to be substantially different. US GDP, in billions of dollars, adjusted for inflation (M2 adjusted):

 

My opinion is that the M2 adjusted chart more likely represents the real state of US economy than the official exponentially growing curve. I also think that this method provides more realistic output than gold-price benchmark. For example on pricedingold.com you can see unrealistic GDP volatility reaching hundreds of percents, while M2 adjustment shows volatility only in few tens of percents at the same time.

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115 thoughts on “US GDP”

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